Just my opinion, but I don't think there can be much doubt that the Arthur Smith claims are what stirred up the hornets nest (law enforcement) in early January. He obviously had verbalized his claims at the reformatory and the leadership at the reformatory had likely called Hilliard and given him a verbal download. That might be what sparked Hilliard's visit to New Bedford to talk to Knowlton. Then Knowlton sent him up to get a written statement.
Proof of the advance call and conversations is that Hilliard brought photos of the homes around the Borden home, clearly with the intent to pin down that his story did involve the Borden house and not Churchill's or Kelly's.
Nothing about Arthur's statement would get Lizzie 'off the hook', so to say. He saw a woman (implication lizzie) unwrapping something that had a handle and then a bit later finds a bloody hatchet in the front yard and sees the same woman at the side door. All of that would have been highly prejudicial for Lizzie, if Lizzie was the person he claimed to have seen.
This further supports the supposition that the police thoroughly checked out Arthurs claims and they weren't able to validate anything. If any of his claims had been corroborated, its a safe bet that the next step would have been asking him to identify Lizzie herself....either via photograph or a 'line up'.
This is excellent work Cagney! This set of information creates such a clear storyline....piecing this together barely feels like speculation.
By the way, regarding Palmer & Bemis.....we have all heard of the concept of "6 degrees of separation". I think Fall River and the Borden cast of characters lived in a world of "1" degree of separation! As you know, it seems like everyone is intertwined with everyone at some point in time.
One of my favorite '1 degree' examples is that, per Fall River city directories, Alice Russell boarded with the Caleb Potter family on Third Street in the years after the murders. As we all know, Caleb's son Arthur found the hatchet on top of the Crowe barn. What are the odds that Alice Russell and Arthur Potter lived under the same roof for several years? Did they ever discuss the case? A conspiracy theorist could have a hay day with all these coincidences and '1 degree' relationships.
Lastly on Bemis and Palmer (I so wanted to type Bevis and butthead

), it would have taken an auditor or a co-worker to have caught Palmer in his skullduggery, so i would bet a dollar that Bemis got suspicious and informed on Palmer. His reward was to get Palmer's job.
Speaking of raw material for conspiracy theorists.....not sure if they had something like 'white out' back in those days.
Page 151 Knowlton Papers
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